Khalil Rountree is a -160 favorite and Jamahal Hill is a +130 underdog at Sportsbook ahead of UFC Baku on June 21.
This is a pivotal light heavyweight clash with major title implications. Both Rountree and Hill are known for their knockout power, but each enters this bout coming off a loss. It’s a high-stakes, top-tier slugfest that could vault the winner into title contention.
Hill vs Rountree Betting Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Khalil Rountree | -160 |
| Jamahal Hill | +130 |
Odds as of June 12 at Sportsbook
How to Bet Rountree
Rountree is a pure power striker. He is a southpaw brawler who throws with menace, and his physicality gives him an edge in close-range exchanges. When he is on, Rountree overwhelms opponents with aggression and muscle, and he can absolutely end Hill’s night with one clean shot.
But Rountree’s defense is hittable. Fighters like Alex Pereira and Anthony Smith have cracked through his guard, and his head movement isn't airtight. Betting Rountree on the moneyline at -160 is reasonable, but the value likely lies in Rountree by KO, which could boost that number into plus territory.
How to Bet Hill
Hill’s stock is lower than it has been in years, following back-to-back KO losses and a tough comeback from an Achilles tear. He looked tentative in his recent bout with Prochazka, where he struggled to establish rhythm and absorbed heavy damage.
Still, Hill’s five-round experience and technical skill make him a live dog. If his body holds up and he avoids the kill shot, he can pick Rountree apart over time or land the cleaner shots in a firefight. I like Hill ML (+130) as a value play in a coin-flip matchup that seems destined to end inside the distance.
Hill vs Rountree Pick
This fight is built for violence, and it will likely not go the full five rounds. Rountree’s power and Hill’s vulnerable chin make a knockout seem likely, but I am fading the narrative and backing Hill on the moneyline. He has enough savvy and firepower to stay upright, find his moments, and exploit Rountree’s defensive flaws.
If total rounds markets open with UNDER 2.5 at anything around -125, that is a sharp secondary angle. But for now, I am locking in the Hill moneyline.
